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Eliteserien

Referee: Jorgen Haugen

Start

U T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Tromso

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

0,4

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

43%

50%

Both score Ø 48%

71%

25%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

2,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,92 xG 0,43

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Start 16. · Tromso 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.5	19
2	Viking	7	6	0	1	+13	+8.6	18
3	Lillestrom	7	5	1	1	+9	+4.6	16
4	Bodo/Glimt	6	4	1	1	+8	+5.6	13
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+7	+4.2	10
6	Molde	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.1	10
7	Ham-Kam	5	3	0	2	-1	-0.5	9
8	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.8	7
9	Sandefjord	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.6	7
10	KFUM Oslo	6	2	1	3	-4	-1.6	7
11	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-4	-5.4	7
12	Fredrikstad	7	2	1	4	-6	-5.3	7
13	Sarpsborg 08	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.3	5
14	Rosenborg	7	1	2	4	-8	-3.7	5
15	Aalesund	6	0	3	3	-6	-6.8	3
16	Start	7	0	3	4	-10	-4.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+5	+7.0	13
2	Viking	4	4	0	0	+12	+4.3	12
3	Molde	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.1	9
4	Ham-Kam	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.3	9
5	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.2	6
6	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.8	6
7	KFUM Oslo	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.5	6
8	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.3	6
9	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
10	Rosenborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
11	Brann	3	1	0	2	+0	+2.3	3
12	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.1	3
13	Start	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.2	2
14	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
15	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2
16	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Brann	5	2	1	2	+7	+1.8	7
3	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
4	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
5	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.3	6
6	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
7	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	-2	-2.3	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.9	3
9	Fredrikstad	4	1	0	3	-7	-3.9	3
10	Kristiansund	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
11	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.0	1
12	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	-5.0	1
13	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
14	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.5	1
15	Start	5	0	1	4	-10	-5.8	1
16	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.