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Eliteserien
Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner
Sandefjord
T S S U T
1–0
Full-time
Aalesund
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,62 xG 0,93
62% Possession 38%
27 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 9. · Aalesund 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Tromso 8 6 1 1 +7 +7.5 19
2 Viking 7 6 0 1 +13 +8.6 18
3 Lillestrom 7 5 1 1 +9 +4.6 16
4 Bodo/Glimt 6 4 1 1 +8 +5.6 13
5 Brann 8 3 1 4 +7 +4.2 10
6 Molde 6 3 1 2 +5 +3.1 10
7 Ham-Kam 5 3 0 2 -1 -0.5 9
8 Kristiansund 5 2 1 2 -2 -3.8 7
9 Sandefjord 6 2 1 3 -3 -1.6 7
10 KFUM Oslo 6 2 1 3 -4 -1.6 7
11 Valerenga 6 2 1 3 -4 -5.4 7
12 Fredrikstad 7 2 1 4 -6 -5.3 7
13 Sarpsborg 08 7 1 2 4 -5 -0.3 5
14 Rosenborg 7 1 2 4 -8 -3.7 5
15 Aalesund 6 0 3 3 -6 -6.8 3
16 Start 7 0 3 4 -10 -4.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Aalesund
25′
🟨 Emil Engqvist
Nikolaj Möller 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Johannsson
↦ I. Djantou
46′
🔁 U. Syversen
↦ E. Engqvist
58′
🔁 M. Andresen
↦ U. Charles
58′
🔁 H. Hammer
↦ H. Melland
R. Dzabic 🔁
↦ M. Melchior
71′
E. Pettersen 🔁
↦ B. Berntsen
71′
72′
🟨 Mathias Christensen
S. Mathisen 🔁
↦ N. Moller
72′
79′
🟨 Marius Andresen
83′
🔁 E. Myrlid
↦ K. Lonebu
1–0 S. Mathisen
88′
S. Kristiansen 🔁
↦ V. Egeli
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sandefjord

3-4-3
30 E. Hadaya G
2 Z. Smajlovic D
6 S. Mork D
44 X. Lambrix D
4 F. Pedersen M
20 M. Melchior M
10 R. Alte M
3 V. Egeli M
7 E. Patoulidis F
11 N. Moller F
19 B. Berntsen F
Bench (9)
1 A. Gronneberg
8 R. Dzabic
47 S. Kristiansen
14 E. Pettersen
24 S. Mathisen
17 F. Apetorgbor
31 H. B. Skretteberg
29 K. Halvorsen
34 A. Blomdahl

Coach: Andreas Tegstrom

Aalesund

5-3-2
1 K. Klaesson G
14 U. Charles D
22 E. Engqvist D
5 A. Kjelsen
3 O. Gudmundsson D
16 J. Orsahl
21 M. Christensen M
18 E. Hagen M
8 H. Melland M
20 I. Djantou F
39 K. Lonebu F
Bench (8)
26 T. Larsen
11 D. Johannsson
25 U. Syversen
2 M. Andresen
15 E. Osenbroch
4 S. Haram
6 H. Hammer
17 E. Myrlid

Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Stian Rovig Sletner · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.