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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Tromso

S S U S S

0–5

Full-time

Brann

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Brann

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 52%

86%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

43%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

29%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,23 xG 2,74

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 7

10 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 1. · Brann 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	7	6	1	0	+12	+9.0	19
2	Viking	6	5	0	1	+10	+7.2	15
3	Lillestrom	6	4	1	1	+5	+3.0	13
4	Molde	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.1	10
5	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.4	10
6	Ham-Kam	5	3	0	2	-1	-0.5	9
7	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.8	7
8	Sandefjord	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.6	7
9	Fredrikstad	6	2	1	3	-4	-3.8	7
10	KFUM Oslo	6	2	1	3	-4	-1.6	7
11	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-4	-5.4	7
12	Sarpsborg 08	6	1	2	3	-1	+1.3	5
13	Rosenborg	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.3	5
14	Brann	6	1	1	4	+0	+1.1	4
15	Start	6	0	3	3	-5	-2.4	3
16	Aalesund	6	0	3	3	-6	-6.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	5	4	1	0	+10	+8.5	13
2	Viking	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.9	9
3	Molde	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.1	9
4	Ham-Kam	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.3	9
5	KFUM Oslo	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.5	6
6	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.3	6
7	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
8	Rosenborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
9	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
10	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
11	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.1	3
12	Start	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.2	2
13	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
14	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2
15	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
16	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
3	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
4	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.3	6
5	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
6	Brann	4	1	1	2	+2	+0.3	4
7	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	-2	-2.3	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.7	3
9	Fredrikstad	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.4	3
10	Kristiansund	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
11	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.0	1
12	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	-5.0	1
13	Rosenborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
14	Start	4	0	1	3	-5	-3.6	1
15	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
16	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.