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Eliteserien

Referee: Espen Eskas

Valerenga

S T U T T

2–2

Full-time

KFUM Oslo

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga KFUM Oslo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,20 xG 1,32

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 7

6 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 11. · KFUM Oslo 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+7	+7.0	20
2	Viking	7	6	0	1	+13	+8.6	18
3	Lillestrom	7	5	1	1	+9	+4.6	16
4	Bodo/Glimt	6	4	1	1	+8	+5.6	13
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+7	+4.2	10
6	Molde	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.1	10
7	Ham-Kam	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.9	10
8	Sandefjord	7	3	1	3	-2	+0.1	10
9	Kristiansund	6	2	2	2	-2	-3.5	8
10	KFUM Oslo	6	2	1	3	-4	-1.6	7
11	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-4	-5.4	7
12	Fredrikstad	7	2	1	4	-6	-5.3	7
13	Sarpsborg 08	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.3	5
14	Rosenborg	7	1	2	4	-8	-3.7	5
15	Start	8	0	4	4	-10	-4.0	4
16	Aalesund	7	0	3	4	-7	-8.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+5	+7.0	13
2	Viking	4	4	0	0	+12	+4.3	12
3	Molde	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.1	9
4	Ham-Kam	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.3	9
5	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.0	7
6	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.2	6
7	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.8	6
8	KFUM Oslo	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.5	6
9	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
10	Rosenborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
11	Sandefjord	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.7	4
12	Brann	3	1	0	2	+0	+2.3	3
13	Start	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.7	3
14	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.1	3
15	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
16	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Brann	5	2	1	2	+7	+1.8	7
3	Tromso	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
5	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.3	6
6	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
7	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	-2	-2.3	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.9	3
9	Fredrikstad	4	1	0	3	-7	-3.9	3
10	Kristiansund	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
11	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.0	1
12	Ham-Kam	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.1	1
13	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-4	-6.7	1
14	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
15	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.5	1
16	Start	5	0	1	4	-10	-5.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.