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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Tromso
S U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Start
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
72%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 25
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 10. · Start 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 5 4 +23 53
2 Brann 25 14 7 4 +13 49
3 Molde 26 14 5 7 +19 47
4 Haugesund 25 13 5 7 +9 44
5 Ranheim 25 11 5 9 -4 38
6 Odd 25 10 7 8 +8 37
7 Valerenga 25 10 7 8 -2 37
8 Kristiansund 25 9 7 9 +1 34
9 Sarpsborg 08 26 9 6 11 +4 33
10 Tromso 25 10 3 12 -2 33
11 Bodo/Glimt 25 6 9 10 -3 27
12 Stromsgodset 26 6 8 12 -2 26
13 Lillestrom 25 6 8 11 -11 26
14 Start 25 7 5 13 -17 26
15 Stabaek 25 5 9 11 -14 24
16 Sandefjord 26 3 10 13 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Start
10′
🟨 Damion Lowe
41′
H. Shala 0–1
T. Christensen
Half-time 0–1
Simen Wangberg 🟨
55′
59′
🟨 Herolind Shala
61′
🔁 M. Bringaker
↦ A. Akinyemi
65′
S. Wangberg 1–1
own goal
75′
🟨 Afeez Aremu Olalekan
77′
🟨 Erlend Segberg
S. Grönli 🔁
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
78′
Morten Gamst Pedersen 🟨
79′
85′
🔁 N. Sandberg
↦ T. Christensen
2–1 M. Bakenga
S. Grönli
86′
94′
🔁 H. Robstad
↦ H. Shala
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kongshavn G
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
11 R. Taylor M
10 M. Ingebrigtsen F
25 L. Nilsen M
18 O. Valakari M
42 M. Bakenga F
Bench (7)
16 S. Grönli
2 T. Høgli
6 C. Landu Landu
15 M. Andersen
17 D. Berntsen
28 J. Karlstrom
34 M. Pedersen

Coach: S. Valakari

Start

3-4-3
26 J. Deumeland G
2 E. Käck D
6 S. Larsen D
3 E. Berger D
31 D. Lowe D
27 E. Wichne D
24 H. Shala F
23 E. Segberg M
10 T. Christensen M
4 A. Aremu M
77 A. Akinyemi F
Bench (7)
20 M. Bringaker
21 N. Sandberg
15 H. Robstad
1 H. Opdal
5 A. Hadzic
18 I. Twum
19 K. Skaanes

Coach: K. Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.