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Pro League

Referee: B Verbeke

Dender

T S T T T

2–1

Full-time

RAAL La Louviere

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender RAAL La Louviere

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 13%

11%

14%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

57%

39%

Both score Ø 54%

64%

43%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,47 xG 1,67

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 2

6 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 16. · RAAL La Louviere 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	26	21	1	4	+31	+17.9	64
2	St. Gilloise	26	17	8	1	+30	+21.4	59
3	St Truiden	26	16	3	7	+16	+16.8	51
4	Mechelen	26	11	8	7	+2	-10.2	41
5	Genk	25	10	8	7	+4	+10.3	38
6	Gent	25	11	5	9	+3	+1.6	38
7	Cercle Brugge	29	10	7	12	+1	+3.7	37
8	Waregem	29	11	4	14	-2	-5.5	37
9	Antwerp	26	10	5	11	+0	-1.2	35
10	Anderlecht	26	9	6	11	-2	+0.4	33
11	Standard	26	9	6	11	-7	-10.5	33
12	Westerlo	26	8	8	10	-5	-1.8	32
13	Charleroi	26	8	5	13	-4	-3.0	29
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	26	5	8	13	-17	-9.5	23
15	RAAL La Louviere	28	4	10	14	-19	-11.0	22
16	Dender	28	3	6	19	-31	-19.3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	12	1	0	+23	+13.4	37
2	Club Brugge	12	9	1	2	+15	+7.5	28
3	St Truiden	13	9	0	4	+4	+8.7	27
4	Gent	12	6	2	4	+6	-1.0	20
5	Genk	13	5	5	3	+4	+9.8	20
6	Waregem	14	6	2	6	+3	+0.7	20
7	Mechelen	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.1	19
8	Antwerp	13	5	3	5	-2	-0.1	18
9	Anderlecht	13	4	4	5	+3	+4.4	16
10	Westerlo	14	4	4	6	-2	-1.3	16
11	Charleroi	13	4	3	6	-1	-0.6	15
12	Cercle Brugge	15	3	3	9	-7	+1.4	12
13	RAAL La Louviere	14	2	6	6	-7	-2.5	12
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	2	4	7	-6	-3.2	10
15	Standard	12	1	5	6	-9	-2.9	8
16	Dender	14	1	2	11	-20	-9.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	12	0	2	+16	+10.4	36
2	Cercle Brugge	14	7	4	3	+8	+2.2	25
3	Standard	14	8	1	5	+2	-7.6	25
4	St Truiden	13	7	3	3	+12	+8.0	24
5	St. Gilloise	13	5	7	1	+7	+8.1	22
6	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+3	-7.2	22
7	Genk	12	5	3	4	+0	+0.6	18
8	Gent	13	5	3	5	-3	+2.6	18
9	Antwerp	13	5	2	6	+2	-1.1	17
10	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-5	-6.2	17
11	Anderlecht	13	5	2	6	-5	-3.9	17
12	Westerlo	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.5	16
13	Charleroi	13	4	2	7	-3	-2.4	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	4	6	-11	-6.3	13
15	Dender	14	2	4	8	-11	-9.4	10
16	RAAL La Louviere	14	2	4	8	-12	-8.5	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.