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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Ham-Kam
T T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
55%
75%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,02 xG 1,24
48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 11
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 13. · Stromsgodset 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 21 15 3 3 +39 +33.8 48
2 Viking 20 14 3 3 +22 +18.7 45
3 Brann 20 12 4 4 +8 +16.4 40
4 Tromso 21 12 3 6 +7 +4.6 39
5 Fredrikstad 20 8 6 6 +4 -0.8 30
6 Rosenborg 19 8 6 5 +2 +5.4 30
7 Valerenga 21 9 3 9 +1 -3.6 30
8 Sandefjord 19 9 1 9 +8 -4.4 28
9 KFUM Oslo 20 7 6 7 +7 +6.1 27
10 Molde 21 8 3 10 +1 +1.0 27
11 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 7 7 +1 +13.1 25
12 Kristiansund 21 6 6 9 -18 -17.6 24
13 Ham-Kam 20 5 6 9 -12 -13.9 21
14 Bryne 21 5 5 11 -12 -4.6 20
15 Stromsgodset 20 4 1 15 -19 -22.0 13
16 Haugesund 20 1 3 16 -39 -32.2 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Stromsgodset
1–0 J. Gonstad
A. Ekeroth
8′
28′
🟨 Fredrik Ardraa
Half-time 1–1
58′
L. Vilsvik 1–1
M. Mawa 🔁
↦ J. Gonstad
61′
T. Soras 🔁
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
61′
Luc Mares 🟨
65′
74′
🔁 K. Krasniqi
↦ J. Bakke
74′
🔁 O. Enersen
↦ G. Wikheim
74′
🔁 J. Ampofo
↦ A. Conteh
76′
🔁 B. Sormo
↦ L. Vilsvik
83′
G. Valsvik 1–2
J. Ampofo
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ A. Potur
84′
E. Gojani 🔁
↦ W. Osnes-Ringen
88′
S. Nilsen 🔁
↦ G. Simenstad
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
18 G. Simenstad
14 L. Mares D
23 F. Sjolstad D
3 E. Amundsen-Day D
5 A. Ekeroth D
24 Y. Ibrahimaj M
15 W. Osnes-Ringen M
17 A. Potur
20 J. Gonstad F
19 K. Lien
Bench (9)
7 V. Jonsson
10 M. Mawa
11 T. Soras
21 E. Gojani
22 S. Nilsen
26 M. Pedersen
30 A. Nilsson
36 P. Sunday
34 M. Larsen

Coach: Thomas Harald Myhre

Stromsgodset

4-1-4-1
1 P. Bratveit G
26 L. Vilsvik D
25 J. Taaje D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl
10 H. Stengel M
80 G. Wikheim M
17 J. Bakke M
16 F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa M
21 M. Farji M
20 A. Conteh
Bench (9)
4 S. Westerlund
5 B. Sormo
6 S. A. Marcello Silalahi
8 K. Krasniqi
14 O. Enersen
15 A. Heredia-Randen
38 J. Torkildsen
84 A. Skistad
99 J. Ampofo

Coach: Dag-Eilev Akkerhaugen Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.