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Eliteserien
Referee: K Hagenes
Ham-Kam
U T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 29%
25%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,08 xG 1,31
54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 15. · Stromsgodset 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 3 3 0 0 +8 +3.5 9
2 Molde 4 3 0 1 +6 +4.2 9
3 Brann 4 2 1 1 +1 +2.3 7
4 Odd 4 2 1 1 +1 -1.7 7
5 Rosenborg 3 2 0 1 +2 -0.4 6
6 Haugesund 3 2 0 1 +0 -2.8 6
7 Stromsgodset 3 2 0 1 -1 -1.3 6
8 Fredrikstad 3 1 1 1 +0 +1.2 4
9 Viking 3 1 1 1 +0 +0.0 4
10 Kristiansund 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.3 4
11 Lillestrom 3 1 0 2 -4 -1.2 3
12 KFUM Oslo 3 0 2 1 -2 +1.1 2
13 Sarpsborg 08 3 0 1 2 -2 -3.5 1
14 Sandefjord 2 0 1 1 -2 +1.0 1
15 Ham-Kam 4 0 1 3 -3 -1.4 1
16 Tromso 2 0 0 2 -3 +0.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Stromsgodset
43′
J. Taaje 0–1
H. Stengel
Half-time 0–1
50′
ℹ️ Lars Christopher Vilsvik
VAR: Goal cancelled
G. Simenstad 🔁
↦ S. Strand Nilsen
63′
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ P. Kirkevold
63′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ F. Sjølstad
63′
64′
🟨 Elias Hoff Melkersen
T. Sørås 🔁
↦ N. Ødegård
73′
73′
🔁 J. Therkelsen
↦ Marko Farji
O. Kjærgaard 🔁
↦ K. Onsrud
81′
85′
🔁 M. Mehnert
↦ E. Andersen
95′
🔁 S. Silalahi
↦ E. Melkersen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

3-5-2
12 M. Sandberg G
14 L. Mares D
23 F. Sjølstad D
6 J. Norheim D
22 S. Strand Nilsen
17 N. Ødegård M
19 W. Kurtović M
7 K. Onsrud M
2 V. Kongsro M
10 M. Mawa F
16 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (9)
18 G. Simenstad
9 H. Udahl
26 B. Bjarnason
11 T. Sørås
8 O. Kjærgaard
21 V. Jónsson
20 J. Gonstad
3 S. Rogers
30 A. Nilsson

Coach: J. Michelsen

Stromsgodset

3-4-3
1 P. Kristian Bråtveit G
25 J. Taaje D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl D
26 L. Vilsvik M
10 H. Stengel M
8 K. Krasniqi M
17 L. Tómasson M
21 Marko Farji F
9 E. Melkersen F
23 E. Andersen F
Bench (9)
22 J. Therkelsen
77 M. Mehnert
37 S. Silalahi
4 S. Westerlund
11 J. Ekeland
3 S. Hanssen
16 D. Gaye
32 F. Stople
20 E. Danso

Coach: J. Isnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.