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Eliteserien
Referee: C Moen
Sarpsborg 08
S U U S U
2–2
Full-time
Haugesund
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
28%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 61%
72%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,79 xG 2,39
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Haugesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 12 5 2 +25 +13.9 41
2 Brann 19 10 6 3 +10 +10.5 36
3 Viking 18 9 6 3 +10 +6.6 33
4 Molde 18 9 4 5 +13 +11.9 31
5 Fredrikstad 19 8 7 4 +5 +3.4 31
6 KFUM Oslo 18 6 8 4 +1 +5.4 26
7 Stromsgodset 19 6 5 8 -6 -1.7 23
8 Sarpsborg 08 18 6 4 8 -7 -3.9 22
9 Ham-Kam 18 5 6 7 +1 -2.8 21
10 Kristiansund 17 5 6 6 -2 -8.0 21
11 Rosenborg 17 6 3 8 -7 -2.7 21
12 Lillestrom 18 6 2 10 -9 -5.5 20
13 Tromso 18 5 3 10 -7 -9.0 18
14 Odd 18 4 6 8 -12 -10.4 18
15 Sandefjord 18 4 5 9 -5 -0.8 17
16 Haugesund 18 5 2 11 -10 -7.1 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Haugesund
Sondre Ørjasæter 🟨
9′
1–0 F. Tebo Uchenna
S. Ørjasæter
27′
35′
J. Eskesen 1–1
Half-time 1–1
S. Christiansen 🔁
↦ V. Halvorsen
46′
53′
🟨 Bruno Leite
54′
🔁 A. Lúðvíksson
↦ Bruno Leite
P. Reinhardsen 🔁
↦ E. Wichne
61′
S. Martinsson Ngouali 🔁
↦ S. Johansen
61′
2–1 D. Job
S. Ørjasæter
62′
P. Chrupałła 🔁
↦ D. Job
67′
71′
🔁 S. Liseth
↦ P. Bizoza
72′
🔁 M. Sauer
↦ T. Nyhammer
72′
🔁 S. Innvær
↦ S. Tounekti
80′
ℹ️ Mathias Sauer
VAR: Penalty confirmed
81′
S. Diarra 2–2
M. Koch 🔁
↦ A. Skipper
82′
89′
🟨 Anders Baertelsen
89′
🔁 M. Fischer
↦ A. Lúðvíksson
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
13 C. Eriksson G
32 E. Wichne D
3 A. Skipper D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
17 A. Hiim D
6 A. Sher M
10 S. Johansen M
8 H. Tangen M
22 V. Halvorsen M
27 S. Ørjasæter M
26 D. Job F
Bench (9)
72 S. Christiansen
20 P. Reinhardsen
18 S. Martinsson Ngouali
37 P. Chrupałła
2 M. Koch
40 L. Øy
98 R. Zekhnini
25 J. Gregersen
23 N. Sandberg

Coach: C. Michelsen

Haugesund

4-4-2
1 E. Selvik G
25 M. Hope D
4 A. Bærtelsen D
6 U. Fredriksen D
3 O. Krusnell D
24 T. Nyhammer M
16 Bruno Leite M
77 P. Bizoza M
11 S. Tounekti M
29 S. Diarra F
21 J. Eskesen F
Bench (9)
13 A. Lúðvíksson
9 S. Liseth
7 M. Sauer
37 S. Innvær
5 M. Fischer
8 M. Konradsen
22 A. Falch
55 M. Dia
42 A. Bondhus

Coach: S. Manoharan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Moen · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.