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Eliteserien

Referee: M Lien

Sarpsborg 08

T T T S S

1–1

Full-time

Brann

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Brann

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 14/16 matches

Win Ø 43%

36%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

71%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

56%

Average goals

3,6

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,09 xG 0,67

44% Possession 56%

18 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Brann 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	11	3	2	+23	+13.6	36
2	Brann	16	8	5	3	+5	+12.3	29
3	Molde	15	8	4	3	+14	+11.0	28
4	Viking	14	8	4	2	+10	+4.6	28
5	Fredrikstad	14	6	5	3	+7	+1.2	23
6	Stromsgodset	14	5	4	5	-3	-4.1	19
7	Lillestrom	14	6	1	7	-6	-3.7	19
8	KFUM Oslo	14	4	6	4	-1	+4.7	18
9	Ham-Kam	15	4	5	6	+1	-1.7	17
10	Kristiansund	15	4	5	6	-3	-7.3	17
11	Rosenborg	14	5	2	7	-7	-2.3	17
12	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	1	8	-8	-7.9	16
13	Haugesund	13	4	2	7	-6	-4.2	14
14	Tromso	15	4	2	9	-7	-6.0	14
15	Odd	16	3	5	8	-14	-9.5	14
16	Sandefjord	15	3	4	8	-5	-0.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	3	0	+12	+5.6	18
2	Viking	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.3	17
3	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
4	Molde	8	4	2	2	+7	+8.9	14
5	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+1	+1.5	13
6	Kristiansund	7	3	3	1	+3	+3.3	12
7	Stromsgodset	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
8	Fredrikstad	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.7	9
9	Sandefjord	7	3	0	4	+0	-0.2	9
10	Tromso	9	3	0	6	-2	-0.6	9
11	Lillestrom	7	2	1	4	-8	-3.6	7
12	Haugesund	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.9	6
13	Odd	8	1	3	4	-7	-1.8	6
14	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	0	5	-8	-2.8	6
15	Ham-Kam	6	1	2	3	-2	-2.0	5
16	KFUM Oslo	7	0	4	3	-6	+5.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	0	2	+11	+8.0	18
2	Molde	7	4	2	1	+7	+2.0	14
3	Fredrikstad	8	4	2	2	+5	-0.5	14
4	KFUM Oslo	7	4	2	1	+5	-0.4	14
5	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	+3	+0.3	12
6	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+2	-0.1	12
7	Brann	7	3	3	1	+1	+2.4	12
8	Viking	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.3	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+0	-5.1	10
10	Stromsgodset	8	3	1	4	-5	-3.6	10
11	Haugesund	6	2	2	2	-1	-3.2	8
12	Odd	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.7	8
13	Tromso	6	1	2	3	-5	-5.3	5
14	Kristiansund	8	1	2	5	-6	-10.6	5
15	Sandefjord	8	0	4	4	-5	-0.5	4
16	Rosenborg	7	1	1	5	-8	-3.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.