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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
0–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4 Corners 4
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 8. · Anderlecht 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 Standard 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Mechelen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Oostende 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Gent 2 1 1 0 +5 4
6 Mouscron 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Antwerp 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Genk 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Charleroi 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Kortrijk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Anderlecht 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Waasland-Beveren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Beveren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Cercle Brugge 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 Waregem 2 0 0 2 -6 0
17 Eupen 2 0 0 2 -8 0
18 St Truiden 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Anderlecht
Deni Hočko 🟨
13′
31′
🟨 Jeremy Doku
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Adžić
↦ P. Gerkens
Joan Campins 🟨
58′
59′
🟨 Peter Žulj
M. Bakić 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
61′
61′
🔁 S. Nasri
↦ Y. Verschaeren
68′
🟨 Francis Amuzu
A. Ciranni 🔁
↦ Joan Campins
69′
73′
🔁 M. Kana
↦ P. Sandler
F. Pierrot 🔁
↦ S. Allagui
88′
90′
🟨 Samir Nasri
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

3-4-2-1
90 V. Vasić G
2 N. Dussenne D
3 N. Antonov D
31 B. Godeau D
22 Joan Campins D
4 N. De Medina
6 D. Hočko M
11 D. Mohamed M
15 F. Boya M
9 S. Allagui F
7 F. Olinga F
Bench (7)
10 M. Bakić
13 A. Ciranni
23 F. Pierrot
1 J. Butez
30 B. Van Durmen
45 J. Osabutey
32 Jonathan Buatu

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 V. Kompany D
34 P. Sandler D
23 P. Žulj M
8 P. Gerkens M
10 M. Vlap M
50 S. Dewaele M
40 F. Amuzu F
51 Y. Verschaeren M
39 E. Kayembe M
49 J. Doku F
Bench (7)
17 L. Adžić
14 S. Nasri
55 M. Kana
33 D. Roef
46 A. El Hadj
43 T. Lutonda
54 K. Sardella

Coach: S. Davies

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.