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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
2–1
Full-time
Gent
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,5
4,0
Scored
0,5
2,7
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2 Corners 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 10. · Gent 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Antwerp 4 3 0 1 +8 9
3 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Mouscron 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Standard 3 2 0 1 +5 6
6 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Charleroi 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Gent 3 1 1 1 +4 4
9 Kortrijk 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Anderlecht 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 Genk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Waregem 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 St Truiden 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Eupen 4 0 2 2 -8 2
16 Waasland-Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Beveren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Cercle Brugge 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
25′
L. Depoitre 0–1
M. Sylla
B. Van Durmen 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
28′
1–1 F. Boya
M. Bakić
34′
2–1 Joan Campins
44′
Half-time 2–1
60′
🟨 Nana Asare
N. Antonov 🔁
↦ S. Allagui
62′
63′
🔁 G. Kvilitaia
↦ L. Depoitre
67′
🔁 J. David
↦ L. Verstraete
F. Pierrot 🔁
↦ J. Osabutey
73′
77′
🔁 A. Castro-Montes
↦ M. Lustig
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

3-4-3
90 V. Vasić G
25 R. Pietrzak D
31 B. Godeau D
22 Joan Campins D
4 N. De Medina
6 D. Hočko M
10 M. Bakić M
11 D. Mohamed M
15 F. Boya M
9 S. Allagui F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
30 B. Van Durmen
3 N. Antonov
23 F. Pierrot
13 A. Ciranni
1 J. Butez
7 F. Olinga
32 Jonathan Buatu

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Gent

4-3-1-2
1 T. Kaminski G
21 N. Asare D
23 M. Lustig D
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
9 R. Bezus M
6 E. Owusu M
33 L. Verstraete M
29 L. Depoitre F
28 M. Sylla F
Bench (7)
13 G. Kvilitaia
16 J. David
14 A. Castro-Montes
76 T. Derijck
26 C. Coosemans
19 B. Dejaegere
15 M. Mohammadi

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.