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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Kortrijk
S T T T U
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
66%
62%
Both score Ø 61%
69%
52%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1 Corners 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 10. · Royal Excel Mouscron 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 29 14 6 9 +8 48
2 Genk 29 13 6 10 +1 45
3 Waregem 19 13 4 2 +19 43
4 Club Brugge 19 13 2 4 +26 41
5 Standard 29 10 11 8 +9 41
6 Anderlecht 19 12 4 3 +27 40
7 Oostende 19 12 3 4 +20 39
8 Gent 19 10 4 5 +10 34
9 Charleroi 19 9 7 3 +6 34
10 Kortrijk 29 8 7 14 -15 31
11 Lokeren 29 7 9 13 -10 30
12 Beveren 29 7 9 13 -12 30
13 Eupen 29 8 6 15 -22 30
14 St Truiden 29 8 5 16 -13 29
15 Westerlo 29 5 8 16 -28 23
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 29 6 3 20 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Royal Excel Mouscron
34′
Trézéguet 0–1
F. Marković
Half-time 1–1
49′
V. Kovačević 1–1
own goal
S. De Smet 🔁
↦ Joãozinho
54′
E. Rolland 🔁
↦ N. Pavlović
56′
66′
🟨 Mergim Vojvoda
L. Veldwijk 🔁
↦ I. Ouali
66′
Elohim Rolland 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 D. Matulevičius
↦ N. Kabasele
79′
🔁 A. Nkaka
↦ F. Marković
Stijn De Smet 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 N. Gulan
↦ Trézéguet
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

13 M. Sifakis G
31 A. Van Loo D
23 Joãozinho D
5 V. Kovačević D
6 D. Goutas D
8 N. Pavlović M
30 K. D'Haene F
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
27 I. Ouali M
9 T. Chevalier F
11 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
7 S. De Smet
26 E. Rolland
39 L. Veldwijk
16 T. Barbarić
25 X. Mercier
28 T. Kaminski
88 S. Sarr

Coach: K. Belhocine

Royal Excel Mouscron

21 M. Delač G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
36 D. Arslanagic D
34 S. Simič D
27 M. Vojvoda D
5 D. Hubert M
11 D. Mohamed F
10 Trézéguet M
7 F. Marković M
94 N. Kabasele F
20 S. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
99 D. Matulevičius
26 A. Nkaka
24 N. Gulan
9 R. Ferber
18 F. Miya
29 T. Peyre
33 T. Defourmy

Coach: M. Rednic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.