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Pro League

Referee: Kevin van Damme

St Truiden

T S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

33%

11%

Points per game

1,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 39%

56%

22%

Average goals

2,1

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match St Truiden 4. · Royal Excel Mouscron 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	8	6	2	0	+16	20
2	Club Brugge	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	St Truiden	9	3	5	1	+3	14
5	Anderlecht	5	4	1	0	+9	13
6	Gent	6	4	1	1	+7	13
7	Oostende	9	4	1	4	-3	13
8	Standard	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Cercle Brugge	10	3	3	4	-7	12
10	Charleroi	10	3	2	5	-1	11
11	Eupen	10	3	1	6	-9	10
12	Beveren	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Kortrijk	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Lokeren	9	1	2	6	-10	5
15	Waregem	9	1	2	6	-13	5
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Genk	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	-2	9
4	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Gent	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Oostende	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Charleroi	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Standard	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Beveren	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Lokeren	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Eupen	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Kortrijk	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Antwerp	4	3	0	1	+1	9
3	Standard	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Kortrijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	Eupen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
6	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Gent	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Oostende	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Charleroi	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Beveren	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Cercle Brugge	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Lokeren	5	0	1	4	-4	1
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Waregem	5	0	1	4	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.