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Referee: Sebastien Delferiere

St Truiden

T U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,7

0,2

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-2,2

This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 16%

13%

19%

Points per game

0,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

69%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

11 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 15. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	11	9	0	2	+13	27
2	Gent	11	8	1	2	+12	25
3	Standard	16	7	4	5	+11	25
4	Mechelen	17	7	4	6	-1	25
5	Kortrijk	16	6	6	4	+1	24
6	Genk	16	7	3	6	-5	24
7	Anderlecht	11	7	2	2	+16	23
8	Oostende	11	7	2	2	+15	23
9	Club Brugge	11	7	2	2	+15	23
10	Charleroi	11	6	4	1	+5	22
11	Eupen	17	4	4	9	-13	16
12	Lokeren	16	4	3	9	-8	15
13	Beveren	16	3	5	8	-12	14
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	3	2	11	-18	11
15	St Truiden	16	2	4	10	-10	10
16	Westerlo	16	2	4	10	-21	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Standard	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Genk	8	6	1	1	+5	19
4	Oostende	7	5	2	0	+15	17
5	Mechelen	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Kortrijk	7	4	3	0	+8	15
7	Club Brugge	6	4	2	0	+11	14
8	Charleroi	5	4	1	0	+4	13
9	Beveren	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Lokeren	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Anderlecht	5	4	0	1	+13	12
12	Waregem	4	4	0	0	+7	12
13	Eupen	8	3	3	2	-1	12
14	St Truiden	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Westerlo	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+3	11
3	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+4	9
4	Charleroi	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Mechelen	8	2	3	3	-5	9
6	Kortrijk	9	2	3	4	-7	9
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	2	1	5	-7	7
8	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Standard	8	1	3	4	-4	6
10	Genk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
11	Westerlo	9	1	2	6	-17	5
12	Gent	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-12	4
14	Lokeren	8	0	2	6	-9	2
15	St Truiden	8	0	1	7	-10	1
16	Beveren	7	0	1	6	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.