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Championship

Referee: Darren Bond

Bolton

T T U S T

0–1

Full-time

Blackburn

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Blackburn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Championship · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 46%

36%

55%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bolton 16. · Blackburn 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	12	8	1	3	+8	25
2	West Brom	12	7	3	2	+14	24
3	Middlesbrough	12	6	4	2	+8	22
4	Leeds	11	5	5	1	+10	20
5	Nott'm Forest	12	4	7	1	+4	19
6	Brentford	12	4	6	2	+6	18
7	Derby	11	5	3	3	+5	18
8	Norwich	12	5	3	4	+0	18
9	Swansea	12	4	5	3	+3	17
10	Wigan	12	5	2	5	-2	17
11	Bristol City	11	4	4	3	+3	16
12	Sheffield Weds	11	4	4	3	+0	16
13	Stoke	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Aston Villa	12	3	6	3	+0	15
15	Blackburn	11	3	6	2	-2	15
16	Bolton	11	4	3	4	-4	15
17	Birmingham	12	2	8	2	+1	14
18	QPR	12	4	2	6	-10	14
19	Rotherham	12	3	2	7	-10	11
20	Millwall	12	2	4	6	-6	10
21	Reading	12	2	3	7	-5	9
22	Preston	12	2	3	7	-6	9
23	Ipswich	12	1	6	5	-7	9
24	Hull	12	2	2	8	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Brentford	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Wigan	6	4	2	0	+4	14
4	Sheffield United	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Middlesbrough	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Nott'm Forest	6	3	3	0	+3	12
7	Leeds	6	3	2	1	+6	11
8	Derby	5	3	2	0	+6	11
9	Rotherham	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Sheffield Weds	6	2	4	0	+2	10
11	Stoke	6	3	1	2	+1	10
12	Aston Villa	6	2	3	1	+2	9
13	Norwich	6	3	0	3	-1	9
14	Preston	6	2	2	2	+3	8
15	Birmingham	6	1	5	0	+2	8
16	Swansea	6	2	2	2	+2	8
17	Bristol City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
18	Millwall	6	2	2	2	+0	8
19	Blackburn	6	1	4	1	-1	7
20	QPR	6	2	1	3	-2	7
21	Bolton	5	2	1	2	-2	7
22	Ipswich	6	0	5	1	-2	5
23	Hull	6	1	1	4	-3	4
24	Reading	6	1	0	5	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	6	4	0	2	+3	12
2	Leeds	5	2	3	0	+4	9
3	Middlesbrough	6	2	3	1	+3	9
4	West Brom	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Norwich	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Swansea	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Bristol City	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Blackburn	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Bolton	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Nott'm Forest	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Derby	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	QPR	6	2	1	3	-8	7
13	Birmingham	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Stoke	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Aston Villa	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Sheffield Weds	5	2	0	3	-2	6
17	Reading	6	1	3	2	-3	6
18	Brentford	6	0	4	2	-3	4
19	Ipswich	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Hull	6	1	1	4	-6	4
21	Wigan	6	1	0	5	-6	3
22	Millwall	6	0	2	4	-6	2
23	Preston	6	0	1	5	-9	1
24	Rotherham	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.