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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Lokeren
T S T U T
1–3
Full-time
Kortrijk
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
11%
22%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lokeren 14. · Kortrijk 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 8 6 2 0 +16 20
2 Club Brugge 6 6 0 0 +15 18
3 Antwerp 7 5 1 1 +6 16
4 St Truiden 9 3 5 1 +3 14
5 Anderlecht 5 4 1 0 +9 13
6 Gent 6 4 1 1 +7 13
7 Oostende 9 4 1 4 -3 13
8 Standard 7 3 3 1 +5 12
9 Cercle Brugge 10 3 3 4 -7 12
10 Charleroi 10 3 2 5 -1 11
11 Eupen 10 3 1 6 -9 10
12 Beveren 9 1 5 3 -2 8
13 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -6 8
14 Lokeren 9 1 2 6 -10 5
15 Waregem 9 1 2 6 -13 5
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 1 1 7 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Kortrijk
1–0 Marko Miric
14′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Idir Ouali
↦ Teddy Chevalier
55′
🟨 Jovan Stojanovic
Jose Francisco Cevallos 🟨
56′
58′
Kristof D'Haene 1–1
61′
🔁 Felipe Avenatti
↦ Larry Azouni
68′
🟨 Kristof D'Haene
Geoffrey Bia 🔁
↦ Guus Hupperts
71′
73′
Felipe Avenatti 1–2
Đorđe Jovanović 🔁
↦ Lukáš Mareček
78′
Bambo Diaby 🔁
↦ Mickael Tirpan
86′
86′
🔁 Kanu
↦ Jovan Stojanovic
90′
Idir Ouali 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lokeren

4-2-3-1
12 Ortwin De Wolf G
25 Mickael Tirpan D
32 Jakov Filipović D
3 Olivier Deschacht D
16 Omri Ben Harush D
7 Killian Overmeire M
23 Lukáš Mareček M
17 Guus Hupperts F
10 Jose Francisco Cevallos M
22 Steve De Ridder M
21 Marko Miric F
Bench (7)
13 Davino Verhulst
18 Bambo Diaby
6 Ari Freyr Skúlason
8 Julian Michel
63 Geoffrey Bia
99 Đorđe Jovanović
77 Anton Saroka

Coach: P. Maes

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 Thomas Kaminski G
13 Brendan Hines-Ike D
15 Christophe Lepoint M
4 Gary Kagelmacher D
30 Kristof D'Haene F
14 Hannes Van Der Bruggen M
5 Larry Azouni M
9 Teddy Chevalier F
23 Julien De Sart M
7 Ilombe Mboyo F
11 Jovan Stojanovic M
Bench (10)
1 Sebastien Bruzzese
12 Jarno De Smet
29 Andriy Batsula
72 Petar Golubović
8 Abdul Ajagun
39 Imoh Ezekiel
10 Kanu
27 Idir Ouali
26 Elohim Rolland
20 Felipe Avenatti

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.