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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
St Truiden
S T T U S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
45%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
27%
64%
Both score Ø 64%
45%
82%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 2. · Royal Excel Mouscron 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 +11 21
2 St Truiden 11 6 2 3 +1 20
3 Beveren 12 5 3 4 +9 18
4 Antwerp 11 5 3 3 +3 18
5 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 5 3 3 +0 18
6 Anderlecht 8 5 2 1 +5 17
7 Waregem 12 5 1 6 +1 16
8 Charleroi 8 4 3 1 +3 15
9 Lokeren 12 4 3 5 -1 15
10 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
11 Standard 7 3 2 2 +0 11
12 Genk 7 2 4 1 +2 10
13 Kortrijk 12 2 4 6 -7 10
14 Eupen 12 2 3 7 -15 9
15 Oostende 12 2 2 8 -7 8
16 Mechelen 12 1 5 6 -8 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron
23′
🟨 Mohamed Aidara
24′
🔁 S. Locigno
↦ J. Huyghebaert
34′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Selim Amallah
57′
🔁 T. Awoniyi
↦ F. Olinga
A. De Sart 🔁
↦ Y. Boli
58′
J. Legear 🔁
↦ E. Acolatse
58′
F. Antunes 🔁
↦ C. De Norre
77′
78′
🟨 Aristote Nkaka
85′
🔁 L. Mutambala
↦ S. Amallah
89′
🟨 Omar Govea
1–0 D. Goutas
J. Legear
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-3-3
21 L. Pirard G
23 S. Kotysch D
15 S. Kitsiou D
28 D. Goutas D
6 S. De Petter M
8 H. Harisis M
24 C. De Norre D
11 Y. Boli F
7 J. Botaka F
29 E. Acolatse F
12 S. Asamoah M
Bench (7)
5 A. De Sart
27 J. Legear
18 F. Antunes
1 K. Steppe
20 D. Dussaut
25 K. Abrahams
26 Jorge Teixeira

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-4-2
33 J. Butez G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
31 B. Godeau D
27 M. Vojvoda D
26 A. Nkaka D
8 M. Aidara F
95 D. Rotariu F
6 O. Govea M
21 S. Amallah M
7 F. Olinga F
10 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
22 S. Locigno
18 T. Awoniyi
13 L. Mutambala
3 N. De Medina
9 Y. Mbombo
16 C. Libertiaux
24 N. Gulan

Coach: M. Rednic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.