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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Gent
U S S S S
1–2
Full-time
St Truiden
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 49%
80%
17%
Points per game
2,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
80%
33%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
2,6
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gent 3. · St Truiden 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Genk 6 4 2 0 +9 14
3 Gent 5 4 1 0 +8 13
4 Antwerp 5 4 1 0 +7 13
5 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
6 Oostende 7 3 1 3 -2 10
7 Standard 6 2 3 1 +3 9
8 Cercle Brugge 7 2 3 2 -1 9
9 St Truiden 6 1 4 1 +0 7
10 Charleroi 7 2 1 4 -1 7
11 Eupen 7 2 1 4 -9 7
12 Kortrijk 7 1 2 4 -6 5
13 Waregem 7 1 2 4 -7 5
14 Beveren 7 0 4 3 -5 4
15 Lokeren 7 1 1 5 -9 4
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 1 0 6 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent St Truiden
6′
🟨 Roman Bezus
21′
Alexis De Sart 0–1
Christian Ceballos
35′
🟨 Jorge Teixeira
Birger Verstraete 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
Dylan Bronn 🔁
↦ Arnaud Souquet
46′
1–1 Dylan Bronn
Nana Asare
51′
60′
🔁 Daichi Kamada
↦ Elton Acolatse
Philip Azango 🔁
↦ Aboubakary Koita
64′
67′
🟨 Yohan Boli
74′
🔁 Duckens Nazon
↦ Christian Ceballos
Jonathan Christian David 🔁
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
76′
80′
Daichi Kamada 1–2
Roman Bezus
85′
🟨 Roman Bezus
85′
🟥 Roman Bezus
90′
🔁 Wataru Endo
↦ Yohan Boli
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
91 Lovre Kalinić G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
76 Timothy Derijck D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
21 Nana Asare D
22 Aboubakary Koita F
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
6 Birger Verstraete M
9 Stallone Limbombe M
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (9)
20 Yannick Thoelen
35 Jari De Busser
28 Dylan Bronn
29 Thibault De Smet
5 Igor Plastun
23 Franko Andrijašević
18 Taiwo Awoniyi
32 Philip Azango
16 Jonathan Christian David

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
1 Kenny Steppe G
7 Jordan Botaka F
26 Jorge Teixeira D
3 Takehiro Tomiyasu D
4 Pol García D
12 Samuel Asamoah M
5 Alexis De Sart M
19 Christian Ceballos M
10 Roman Bezus M
29 Elton Acolatse F
11 Yohan Boli F
Bench (7)
21 Lucas Pirard
33 Wataru Endo
23 Sascha Kotysch
9 Duckens Nazon
8 Ibrahima Sory Sankhon
15 Daichi Kamada
18 Paul Gladon

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.