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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Standard
U U U U S
3–2
Full-time
St Truiden
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 8. · St Truiden 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Genk 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 Oostende 5 3 0 2 -1 9
5 Cercle Brugge 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Gent 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Standard 3 1 2 0 +3 5
9 Waregem 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 St Truiden 4 0 4 0 +0 4
11 Charleroi 4 1 0 3 -1 3
12 Beveren 4 0 3 1 -3 3
13 Kortrijk 4 0 1 3 -7 1
14 Lokeren 4 0 1 3 -8 1
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 0 0 4 -5 0
16 Eupen 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard St Truiden
1–0 Collins Fai
7′
17′
Roman Bezus 1–1
Luis Pedro Cavanda 🔁
↦ Sebastien Pocognoli
17′
30′
🟨 Roman Bezus
Collins Fai 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Christian Ceballos
Răzvan Marin 🟨
53′
Mehdi Carcela-González 🟨
57′
68′
🔁 Elton Acolatse
↦ Roman Bezus
69′
Yohan Boli 1–2
Elton Acolatse
Orlando Sá 🔁
↦ Moussa Djenepo
69′
78′
🔁 Samuel Asamoah
↦ Christian Ceballos
2–2 Christian Luyindama
Răzvan Marin
80′
3–2 Renaud Emond
90′
90′
🟨 Elton Acolatse
Zinho Vanheüsden 🔁
↦ Renaud Emond
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Standard

4-4-1-1
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
21 Collins Fai D
26 Christian Luyindama D
34 Konstantinos Laifis D
15 Sebastien Pocognoli D
40 Paul-José Mpoku F
18 Răzvan Marin M
8 Gojko Cimirot M
19 Moussa Djenepo M
10 Mehdi Carcela-González M
9 Renaud Emond F
Bench (8)
1 Jean-Francois Gillet
3 Zinho Vanheüsden
29 Luis Pedro Cavanda
5 Uche Agbo
11 Carlinhos
28 Samuel Bastien
31 William Balikwisha
7 Orlando Sá

Coach: M. Preud'homme

St Truiden

4-3-3
1 Kenny Steppe G
7 Jordan Botaka F
3 Takehiro Tomiyasu D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
24 Casper De Norre D
5 Alexis De Sart M
6 Steven De Petter M
33 Wataru Endo D
19 Christian Ceballos M
11 Yohan Boli F
10 Roman Bezus M
Bench (7)
21 Lucas Pirard
20 Samy Mmaee
28 Takahiro Sekine
12 Samuel Asamoah
14 Alexandre De Bruyn
29 Elton Acolatse
77 Mohamed Buya

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.