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Referee: Jan Boterberg

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T T T T

2–1

Full-time

St Truiden

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,3

1,0

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Corners 3

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 16. · St Truiden 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Standard	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	-3	5
7	Gent	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Genk	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Lokeren	3	1	0	2	+1	3
12	Oostende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Beveren	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Kortrijk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Lokeren	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Oostende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Eupen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Beveren	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Waregem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Eupen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Beveren	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-4	1
11	Oostende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Lokeren	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.