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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Brann
S S U S S
4–2
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 70%
64%
75%
Points per game
2,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
61%
Average goals
2,9
3,9
Scored
1,8
2,6
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,67 xG 0,69
50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 0
6 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 2. · Bodo/Glimt 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 28 21 4 3 +40 +20.0 67
2 Brann 28 18 4 6 +21 +4.7 58
3 Tromso 28 18 3 7 +14 +10.4 57
4 Viking 28 17 4 7 +13 +4.5 55
5 Molde 28 14 5 9 +24 +12.0 47
6 Lillestrom 28 13 3 12 +1 +7.2 42
7 Sarpsborg 08 28 12 5 11 +7 +5.2 41
8 Stromsgodset 28 11 3 14 -3 -4.1 36
9 Rosenborg 28 10 6 12 -6 -4.3 36
10 Odd 28 9 7 12 -5 -5.6 34
11 Ham-Kam 28 10 3 15 -18 -15.5 33
12 Haugesund 28 8 6 14 -8 -3.9 30
13 Sandefjord 28 7 7 14 -8 -14.0 28
14 Stabaek 28 6 8 14 -16 -8.3 26
15 Valerenga 28 6 7 15 -13 -2.7 25
16 Aalesund 28 5 3 20 -43 -5.8 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Bodo/Glimt
1–0 B. Finne
F. Myhre
7′
Niklas Castro ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
27′
2–0 B. Finne
28′
3–0 N. Castro
B. Finne
40′
Bård Finne ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
41′
Half-time 3–0
S. Kartum 🔁
↦ F. Børsting
46′
46′
🔁 O. Kapskarmo
↦ F. Moumbagna
46′
🔁 A. Pellegrino
↦ S. Fet
46′
🔁 T. Gulliksen
↦ S. Sørli
4–0 N. Castro
B. Finne
47′
53′
T. Gulliksen 4–1
P. Berg
60′
🟨 Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
67′
🔁 F. Sjøvold
↦ B. Wembangomo
N. Jensen Wassberg 🔁
↦ U. Mathisen
77′
82′
O. Kapskarmo 4–2
A. Grønbæk
83′
🟨 Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo
Svenn Crone 🟨
91′
A. Heggebø 🔁
↦ B. Finne
92′
M. Warming 🔁
↦ N. Castro
93′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
13 S. Crone D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
8 F. Myhre M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
10 F. Børsting M
14 U. Mathisen F
11 B. Finne F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (9)
18 S. Kartum
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
7 M. Warming
20 A. Heggebø
12 E. Holmen Johansen
23 T. Pedersen
21 R. Kristiansen
22 M. Simba
40 E. Helland

Coach: E. Horneland

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
1 J. Faye Lund G
5 B. Wembangomo D
18 B. Moe D
4 O. Bjørtuft D
15 F. Bjørkan D
14 U. Saltnes M
77 P. Berg M
8 A. Grønbæk M
19 S. Fet F
29 F. Moumbagna F
27 S. Sørli F
Bench (9)
28 O. Kapskarmo
7 A. Pellegrino
25 T. Gulliksen
20 F. Sjøvold
10 D. Bassi
44 M. Brøndbo
16 M. Konradsen
6 I. Amundsen
30 A. Sørensen

Coach: K. Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.