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NM-cupen

Referee: S Moen

Valerenga

S T S T U

3–2

Full-time

Brann

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Brann

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,5

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — NM-cupen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

100%

75%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,8

7,0

Scored

2,5

5,8

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+4,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 3. · Brann 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Ham-Kam	4	4	0	0	+20	12
3	Valerenga	4	4	0	0	+9	12
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	4	0	0	+7	12
5	Sarpsborg 08	5	4	0	1	+5	12
6	Brann	4	3	1	0	+18	10
7	Raufoss	4	3	1	0	+8	10
8	Viking	4	3	1	0	+8	10
9	Kjelsås	4	3	1	0	+5	10
10	Sogndal	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	KFUM Oslo	4	3	0	1	+4	9
12	Stromsgodset	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Stjørdals-Blink	4	3	0	1	-1	9
14	Brattvåg	4	3	0	1	-3	9
15	Aalesund	3	2	1	0	+9	7
16	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+8	7
17	Gjøvik-Lyn	4	2	1	1	+0	7
18	Odd	3	2	0	1	+7	6
19	Alta	3	2	0	1	+7	6
20	Start	3	2	0	1	+4	6
21	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+3	6
22	Bærum	3	2	0	1	+3	6
23	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	+3	6
24	Jerv	3	2	0	1	+3	6
25	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+3	6
26	Mjondalen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
27	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+2	6
28	Vard	3	2	0	1	+1	6
29	Sotra	3	2	0	1	+1	6
30	Moss	3	2	0	1	+1	6
31	Asane	3	2	0	1	+0	6
32	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Tromsdalen Uil	2	1	1	0	+1	4
34	Ull/Kisa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
35	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+7	3
36	Sandnes ULF	2	1	0	1	+4	3
37	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	+4	3
38	hodd	2	1	0	1	+4	3
39	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	+3	3
40	Levanger	2	1	0	1	+3	3
41	Ørn Horten	2	1	0	1	+3	3
42	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	+2	3
43	Grorud	2	1	0	1	+2	3
44	Frigg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Stord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Fana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Gjelleråsen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Lysekloster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Notodden	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Halsen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Skeid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Kvik Halden	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	Vidar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
59	Fjøra	2	1	0	1	-3	3
60	Byåsen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
61	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-4	3
62	Mjølner	2	1	0	1	-6	3
63	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Eidsvold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Sandefjord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Eik-Tønsberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
68	Strommen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
69	Træff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Loddefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Herd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Kråkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Os	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Heming	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Fram	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Holmlia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Tomrefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Mandalskameratene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Drammens BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Floro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Flint	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Eid	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Skedsmo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Innstranden	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Frøya	1	0	0	1	-5	0
122	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
124	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-5	0
125	Urædd	1	0	0	1	-6	0
126	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-7	0
127	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
128	Hammerfest IF Stein	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kjelsås	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Molde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vard	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Stjørdals-Blink	3	2	0	1	-3	6
5	Brattvåg	3	2	0	1	-4	6
6	Gjøvik-Lyn	3	1	1	1	-4	4
7	Alta	2	1	0	1	+6	3
8	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	+4	3
9	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Frigg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Sogndal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Bærum	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Stord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Gjelleråsen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Lysekloster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Sotra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Halsen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Fjøra	2	1	0	1	-3	3
23	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-4	3
24	Mjølner	2	1	0	1	-6	3
25	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Aalesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Eidsvold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Tromsdalen Uil	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Eik-Tønsberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
32	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Skjervøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Loddefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Fredrikstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Herd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Kråkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Arendal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Fana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Heming	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Levanger	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Holmlia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Tomrefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Mandalskameratene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Drammens BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Flint	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Eid	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Skedsmo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
88	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Frøya	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Urædd	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	Hammerfest IF Stein	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ham-Kam	4	4	0	0	+20	12
2	Valerenga	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Brann	4	3	1	0	+18	10
4	Viking	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Molde	3	3	0	0	+11	9
6	Raufoss	3	3	0	0	+8	9
7	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Sarpsborg 08	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Stromsgodset	4	3	0	1	+2	9
10	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+8	7
11	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+9	6
12	Odd	3	2	0	1	+7	6
13	Mjondalen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Start	3	2	0	1	+4	6
16	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
18	Jerv	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Sogndal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
20	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+2	6
21	KFUM Oslo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
22	Moss	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Asane	3	2	0	1	+0	6
24	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+2	4
25	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+8	3
26	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Sandnes ULF	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	hodd	2	1	0	1	+4	3
29	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Ørn Horten	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Grorud	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Notodden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Fana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Alta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Vidar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Kvik Halden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Lyn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Byåsen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Skeid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Strommen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Sandefjord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Kjelsås	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Ull/Kisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
54	Træff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Os	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Fram	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Floro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Innstranden	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.