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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

Utrecht

T T S U U

1–2

Full-time

FC Emmen

S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht FC Emmen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 21%

17%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 10. · FC Emmen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+7	8
5	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Willem II	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Heracles	4	2	1	1	-2	7
8	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-6	6
9	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Excelsior	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	De Graafschap	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Vitesse	3	0	2	1	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+5	5
6	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	VVV Venlo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.