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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

AZ Alkmaar

S S T T U

3–0

Full-time

Utrecht

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 8/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,9

3,7

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 7. · Utrecht 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+21	24
2	Zwolle	9	5	3	1	+5	18
3	Ajax	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+10	16
5	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+1	14
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Den Haag	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	VVV Venlo	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	-3	11
11	Twente	9	3	0	6	+0	9
12	Groningen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
14	Heracles	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Willem II	9	3	0	6	-9	9
16	NAC Breda	9	2	1	6	-8	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-10	6
18	Roda	9	2	0	7	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Twente	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Feyenoord	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Roda	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Excelsior	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Excelsior	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+10	9
5	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Den Haag	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	VVV Venlo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+5	7
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Zwolle	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-8	6
12	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Roda	6	1	0	5	-9	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.