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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Excelsior
U T U S S
2–0
Full-time
Groningen
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 5. · Groningen 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Nijmegen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Zwolle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior Groningen
1–0 J. Mattheij
R. Koolwijk
2′
17′
🟨 Ruben Jenssen
28′
🔁 S. Memišević
↦ H. Maduro
36′
🟨 Hans Hateboer
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 O. Idrissi
↦ Y. van Nieff
T. Ondaan 🔁
↦ S. Elbers
65′
C. Badjeck 🔁
↦ N. Hasselbaink
65′
68′
🔁 D. Hoesen
↦ Jesper Drost
Fredy 🟨
75′
A. Hadouir 🔁
↦ R. Koolwijk
84′
Terell Ondaan 🟨
85′
87′
🟨 Tom Hiariej
Anouar Hadouir 🟨
90′
2–0 K. Vermeulen
L. Bruins
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3
22 T. Muyters G
4 H. Drost D
15 J. Mattheij D
2 K. Karami D
5 B. Kuipers D
10 L. Bruins F
8 R. Koolwijk M
18 K. Vermeulen M
17 Fredy F
7 N. Hasselbaink F
11 S. Elbers F
Bench (8)
9 T. Ondaan
14 C. Badjeck
6 A. Hadouir
16 M. Havekotte
3 L. Owusu
34 D. Haspolat
1 F. Kurto
23 M. Massop

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Groningen

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
33 H. Hateboer M
23 H. Maduro M
8 R. Jenssen M
24 T. Hiariej M
17 Jesper Drost M
10 A. Rusnák M
20 Y. van Nieff M
19 T. van Weert F
7 J. Antonia F
Bench (10)
5 S. Memišević
45 O. Idrissi
9 D. Hoesen
32 N. Borgman
12 J. Bacuna
21 M. van der Laan
11 B. Linssen
28 A. Tamata
22 S. Tibbling
16 S. van der Lei

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.