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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Waregem
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
20%
83%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

7 Corners 5
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waregem 1. · Kortrijk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 5 4 0 1 +9 12
2 Mechelen 7 3 3 1 +3 12
3 Charleroi 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Kortrijk 6 3 2 1 +1 11
5 Gent 4 3 1 0 +6 10
6 Club Brugge 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Genk 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Standard 6 2 3 1 +3 9
9 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
10 St Truiden 7 2 1 4 -2 7
11 Eupen 7 2 1 4 -5 7
12 Oostende 4 2 0 2 +0 6
13 Lokeren 6 2 0 4 -4 6
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 2 0 5 -5 6
15 Beveren 7 1 2 4 -6 5
16 Westerlo 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Kortrijk
23′
🟨 Samuel Gigot
1–0 O. Kaya
A. Cordaro
36′
40′
I. Saadi 1–1
B. Verstraete
Lukas Lerager 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 Elohim Rolland
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Andriy Totovytskyi
Vetokele 🔁
↦ C. Lepoint
60′
63′
🟨 Joaozinho
74′
🔁 G. De Mets
↦ X. Mercier
1–2 T. Kaminski
own goal
77′
79′
🟨 Elohim Rolland
79′
🟥 Elohim Rolland
83′
🔁 A. Papazoglou
↦ B. Verstraete
J. Naessens 🔁
↦ A. Cordaro
87′
88′
🔁 S. Sarr
↦ Joãozinho
L. Marrone 🔁
↦ O. Kaya
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Waregem

22 K. Steppe G
6 T. Derijck M
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
3 M. Baudry D
10 O. Kaya M
29 A. Cordaro M
23 C. Lepoint M
17 S. Meïté M
8 L. Lerager M
9 M. Leye F
Bench (7)
7 Vetokele
11 J. Naessens
4 L. Marrone
5 B. Verboom
25 L. Bostyn
33 S. Brebels
43 S. Coopman

Coach: F. Dury

Kortrijk

28 T. Kaminski G
23 Joãozinho D
15 R. Métanire D
6 D. Goutas D
20 S. Gigot D
10 H. Kage F
25 X. Mercier M
26 E. Rolland M
5 B. Verstraete M
29 A. Totovytsky M
11 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
17 G. De Mets
9 A. Papazoglou
88 S. Sarr
13 M. Sifakis
24 L. Rougeaux
30 K. D'Haene
31 A. Van Loo

Coach: B. Van Lancker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.