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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Kampka

Hamburg

U T S U T

0–4

Full-time

RB Leipzig

U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 15. · RB Leipzig 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Freiburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.