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Championship
Referee: Graham Scott
Cardiff
S U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Leeds
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 22. · Leeds 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 7 5 1 1 +4 16
2 Newcastle 7 5 0 2 +12 15
3 Barnsley 7 5 0 2 +9 15
4 Norwich 7 4 2 1 +3 14
5 Birmingham 7 3 3 1 +3 12
6 Fulham 7 3 3 1 +2 12
7 Brighton 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Brentford 7 3 2 2 +3 11
9 Ipswich 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Nott'm Forest 7 3 2 2 +0 11
11 Sheffield Weds 7 3 2 2 -1 11
12 Reading 7 3 2 2 -2 11
13 Bristol City 7 3 1 3 +1 10
14 QPR 7 3 1 3 -3 10
15 Burton Albion 7 2 3 2 +1 9
16 Wolves 7 2 3 2 -1 9
17 Aston Villa 7 1 4 2 +0 7
18 Leeds 7 2 1 4 -4 7
19 Preston 7 2 0 5 +0 6
20 Rotherham 7 1 3 3 -9 6
21 Derby 7 1 2 4 -5 5
22 Cardiff 7 1 2 4 -6 5
23 Wigan 7 1 1 5 -2 4
24 Blackburn 7 0 2 5 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Leeds
27′
🟨 Hadi Sacko
42′
🟨 Luke Ayling
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Stuart Dallas
62′
C. Wood 0–1
K. Harris 🔁
↦ J. Ralls
70′
71′
🔁 K. Roofe
↦ S. Dallas
82′
Pablo Hernández 0–2
F. Gounongbe 🔁
↦ M. Connolly
83′
L. Immers 🔁
↦ A. Pilkington
88′
89′
🔁 K. Phillips
↦ Pablo Hernández
92′
🔁 M. Antonsson
↦ C. Wood
Full-time 0–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.