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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Ajax

S S U S U

1–2

Full-time

Willem II

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

4,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

3,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

69% Possession 31%

16 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 6. · Willem II 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Nijmegen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Roda	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.