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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Brand
Dortmund
S T U S T
6–0
Full-time
Darmstadt
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

79% Possession 21%
22 Shots 5
13 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dortmund 7. · Darmstadt 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Hertha 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Wolfsburg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Dortmund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 M'gladbach 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Darmstadt 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Freiburg 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Hoffenheim 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Mainz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Hamburg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 FC Ingolstadt 04 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Schalke 04 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Werder Bremen 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Darmstadt
1–0 G. Castro
O. Dembélé
7′
22′
🟨 Anis Ben-Hatira
32′
🟨 Alexander Milošević
39′
🔁 S. Sirigu
↦ Ä. Ben-Hatira
41′
🟨 Immanuel Höhn
44′
🟨 Peter Niemeyer
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Bezjak
↦ M. Vrančić
2–0 A. Ramos
48′
50′
🟨 Florian Jungwirth
3–0 C. Pulisic
54′
57′
🟨 Peter Niemeyer
57′
🟥 Peter Niemeyer
S. Kagawa 🔁
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
63′
E. Mor 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
64′
70′
🔁 A. Colak
↦ S. Schipplock
S. Rode 🔁
↦ M. Schmelzer
71′
4–0 G. Castro
C. Pulisic
78′
5–0 S. Rode
G. Castro
84′
6–0 E. Mor
C. Pulisic
88′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-1-4-1
38 R. Bürki G
25 S. Papastathopoulos D
29 M. Schmelzer D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
28 M. Ginter D
27 G. Castro M
33 J. Weigl M
7 O. Dembélé F
30 F. Passlack D
22 C. Pulisic M
20 A. Ramos F
Bench (7)
23 S. Kagawa
9 E. Mor
18 S. Rode
1 R. Weidenfeller
5 Bartra
10 M. Götze
17 P. Aubameyang

Coach: T. Tuchel

Darmstadt

5-4-1
31 M. Esser G
32 F. Holland D
3 A. Milosevic D
21 I. Höhn D
2 L. Guwara D
6 M. Vrančić M
18 P. Niemeyer D
20 M. Heller M
23 F. Jungwirth D
28 Ä. Ben-Hatira M
39 S. Schipplock F
Bench (7)
17 S. Sirigu
14 R. Bezjak
16 A. Colak
1 Daniel Heuer
7 A. Fedetskiy
30 L. Kleinheisler
22 D. Oliynyk

Coach: N. Meier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benjamin Brand · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.