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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Monaco
S U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Rennes
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
75%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 2. · Rennes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 3 1 1 +8 10
2 Monaco 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Nice 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Metz 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Bordeaux 4 3 0 1 +1 9
6 Guingamp 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 Rennes 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Lyon 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Bastia 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Caen 5 2 0 3 -7 6
11 Toulouse 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 St Etienne 4 1 2 1 +1 5
13 Montpellier 4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 Marseille 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Lille 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Dijon 4 1 0 3 -2 3
17 Angers 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 Nantes 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Nancy 4 1 0 3 -5 3
20 Lorient 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Rennes
1–0 R. Falcao
A. Touré
42′
Half-time 1–0
Adama Traoré 🟨
52′
52′
🟨 Giovanni Sio
60′
🔁 A. Diakhaby
↦ G. Sio
61′
🔁 W. Saïd
↦ P. Ntep
Bernardo Silva 🔁
↦ A. Traoré
62′
75′
🔁 K. Erasmus
↦ M. Zeffane
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
78′
K. N'Doram 🔁
↦ V. Germain
85′
2–0 T. Lemar
G. Carrillo
90′
3–0 T. Lemar
K. N'Doram
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
1 D. Subašić G
24 A. Raggi D
25 K. Glik D
38 A. Touré D
2 Fabinho M
5 Jemerson D
8 João Moutinho M
27 T. Lemar M
20 A. Traoré M
9 R. Falcao F
18 V. Germain F
Bench (7)
10 Bernardo Silva
11 G. Carrillo
35 K. N'Doram
16 M. De Sanctis
26 Boschilia
29 K. Mbappe Lottin
34 A. Diallo

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Rennes

4-4-2
1 B. Costil
24 L. Baal D
29 R. Danzé D
4 Mexer D
5 Pedro Mendes D
2 M. Zeffane D
15 R. Bensebaini D
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
13 G. Sio F
7 P. Ntep M
Bench (7)
31 A. Diakhaby
11 W. Saïd
9 K. Erasmus
16 P. Nardi
18 Pedro Henrique
23 A. Hunou
26 S. Prcić

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.