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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Liesveld

Feyenoord

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Excelsior

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%

28 Shots 10

12 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 8

13 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · Excelsior 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Nijmegen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Heracles	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-4	4
11	Roda	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Twente	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-6	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Roda	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.