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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Excelsior

T U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Den Haag

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 9

0 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 3. · Den Haag 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Roda	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Nijmegen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.