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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Stieler

M'gladbach

U S S S T

4–1

Full-time

Werder Bremen

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

2,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match M'gladbach 10. · Werder Bremen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Hoffenheim	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Freiburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	-7	3
14	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Hamburg	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
9	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
18	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.