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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Willem II
T T U T S
1–4
Full-time
Vitesse
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Willem II Vitesse
21′
R. van Wolfswinkel 0–1
M. Nakamba
30′
V. Qazaishvili 0–2
K. Ota
37′
Nathan 0–3
39′
Nathan 0–4
K. Leerdam
Half-time 0–4
G. Joppen 🔁
↦ T. Haye
46′
1–4 Fran Sol
Bruno Andrade
54′
64′
🔁 Zhang Yuning
↦ Nathan
70′
🟨 Lewis Baker
73′
🔁 A. Kruiswijk
↦ K. Ota
Asumah 🔁
↦ Bruno Andrade
80′
81′
🔁 A. Koryan
↦ M. van Bergen
B. Ogbeche 🔁
↦ E. Falkenburg
85′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
1 K. Lamprou G
4 J. Peters D
5 D. Koppers D
15 D. Wuytens D
3 F. Heerkens D
10 E. Falkenburg F
6 F. Ojo M
8 T. Haye M
11 Bruno Andrade F
9 Fran Sol F
30 A. Calcan M
Bench (10)
24 G. Joppen
28 Asumah
22 B. Ogbeche
42 A. Franssen
49 N. Wouters
31 M. Branderhorst
23 N. Bertrams
7 J. Schuurman
45 T. Kok
41 D. Koks

Coach: E. van de Looi

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
8 K. Ota D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
10 V. Qazaishvili M
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
11 Nathan M
16 M. van Bergen F
Bench (7)
9 Zhang Yuning
6 A. Kruiswijk
30 A. Koryan
23 M. Tørnes
21 S. Yeini
20 M. Osman
29 J. Lelieveld

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.