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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Roda

U U T U T

0–3

Full-time

Heerenveen

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

20%

75%

Both score Ø 58%

40%

75%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,6

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roda 16. · Heerenveen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Den Haag	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Twente	6	3	0	3	+1	9
6	Excelsior	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Vitesse	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Nijmegen	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Willem II	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Roda	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Zwolle	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Den Haag	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Groningen	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Den Haag	4	2	0	2	-3	6
6	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Roda	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.