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Ligue 1
Referee: Karim Abed
Metz
S T
2–0
Full-time
Angers
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 17. · Angers 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Lyon 3 2 0 1 +3 6
3 Nice 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Marseille 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Bastia 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Rennes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Dijon 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Nantes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Caen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Bordeaux 2 1 0 1 -2 3
17 Metz 2 1 0 1 -2 3
18 Angers 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Nancy 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Lorient 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Angers
Cheick Doukouré 🟨
21′
1–0 S. Falette ⚽
F. Mollet
42′
45′
🟨 Pablo Martinez
Half-time 1–0
I. Sarr 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
57′
63′
🔁 N. Pepe
↦ G. Sunu
H. Diallo 🔁
↦ M. Erdinç
69′
76′
🔁 F. Diedhiou
↦ T. Mangani
76′
🔁 V. Manceau
↦ P. Martinez
Franck Signorino 🟨
86′
87′
🟨 Billy Ketkeophomphone
2–0 G. Milán ⚽
R. Cohade
89′
B. Assou-Ekotto 🔁
↦ F. Signorino
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
1 T. Didillon G
13 F. Signorino D
5 G. Milán D
3 J. Rivierez D
6 S. Falette D
24 R. Cohade M
14 G. Mandjeck M
10 C. Doukouré M
19 F. Mollet M
9 M. Erdinç F
11 O. N'Guette F
Bench (7)
26 I. Sarr
17 H. Diallo
32 B. Assou-Ekotto
7 G. Hein
25 Iván
29 V. Thill
30 D. Oberhauser

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Angers

4-3-3
16 M. Michel G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
3 Y. Andreu D
21 P. Martinez D
5 T. Mangani M
17 C. N'Doye M
18 B. Santamaria M
10 G. Sunu F
14 V. Ketkeophomphone F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
19 N. Pepe
9 F. Diedhiou
29 V. Manceau
4 M. Pavlović
6 G. Bourillon
15 P. Capelle
40 A. Mandrea

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Karim Abed · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.