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Ligue 1
Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry
Angers
U T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Nice
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
21 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 17. · Nice 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Montpellier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Nantes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Caen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Marseille 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 St Etienne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Lille 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Lorient 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Rennes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Nice
4′
A. Plea 0–1
J. Seri
Grégory Bourillon 🟨
16′
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Dalbert
B. Santamaria 🔁
↦ G. Bourillon
56′
N. Pepe 🔁
↦ G. Sunu
66′
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ F. Diedhiou
75′
78′
🟨 Ricardo Pereira
84′
🔁 R. Walter
↦ M. Bodmer
91′
🔁 A. Lusamba
↦ W. Cyprien
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-3-3
1 D. Petric
6 G. Bourillon D
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
17 C. N'Doye M
10 G. Sunu F
14 V. Ketkeophomphone F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
18 B. Santamaria
19 N. Pepe
15 P. Capelle
21 P. Martinez
4 M. Pavlović
16 M. Michel
20 F. Tait

Coach: S. Moulin

Nice

4-3-3
30 Y. Cardinale G
24 M. Bodmer D
4 P. Baysse D
21 Ricardo Pereira D
29 Dalbert Henrique D
34 M. Sarr D
13 V. Eysseric M
6 J. Seri M
25 W. Cyprien M
26 V. Koziello M
14 A. Plea F
Bench (7)
18 R. Walter
8 A. Lusamba
2 A. Souquet
33 V. Marcel
28 O. Boscagli
22 A. Donis
1 M. Hassen

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jerome Miguelgorry · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.