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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
Dijon
T T
4–2
Full-time
Lyon
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
4,2
Scored
0,0
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

31% Possession 69%
8 Shots 25
5 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 10
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 18. · Lyon 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Nice 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Marseille 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Bastia 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Rennes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Nantes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Caen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Bordeaux 2 1 0 1 -2 3
16 Metz 2 1 0 1 -2 3
17 Angers 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Nancy 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Lorient 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Lyon
20′
⚽ C. Tolisso 0–1
22′
🟨 Nicolas N'Koulou
1–1 F. Sammaritano ⚽
24′
37′
⚽ A. Lacazette 1–2
N. Fekir
Romain Amalfitano 🟨
45′
45′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ A. Lacazette
Half-time 2–2
2–2 Júlio Tavares ⚽
F. Sammaritano
46′
Florent Balmont 🟨
55′
D. Bahamboula 🔁
↦ F. Sammaritano
55′
P. Lees Melou 🔁
↦ L. Diony
62′
68′
🔁 J. Ferri
↦ M. Rybus
3–2 D. Bahamboula ⚽
73′
75′
🟨 Maxime Gonalons
J. Gastien 🔁
↦ Júlio Tavares
75′
76′
🔁 C. Grenier
↦ N. Fekir
4–2 P. Lees Melou ⚽
J. Marié
88′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Dijon

4-4-2
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
23 V. Rüfli D
26 F. Chafik D
21 Y. Abdelhamid D
15 F. Balmont M
18 F. Sammaritano M
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
11 Júlio Tavares F
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
24 D. Bahamboula
8 P. Lees Melou
22 J. Gastien
1 B. Leroy
4 J. Lotiès
5 Q. Bernard
10 J. Bela

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
31 M. Rybus D
2 M. Yanga-Mbiwa D
3 N. N'Koulou D
20 Rafael D
21 M. Gonalons M
14 Sergi Darder M
8 C. Tolisso M
10 A. Lacazette F
18 N. Fekir M
27 M. Cornet F
Bench (7)
28 M. Valbuena
12 J. Ferri
7 C. Grenier
4 E. Mammana
13 C. Jallet
22 G. Perrin
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.