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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Real Madrid

S S U T S

2–0

Full-time

Sevilla

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 50%

53%

47%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

47%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

23 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 4. · Sevilla 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	13	4	2	+33	43
2	Ath Madrid	19	10	8	1	+14	38
3	Sevilla	19	9	6	4	+11	33
4	Real Madrid	19	10	3	6	+4	33
5	Alaves	20	9	5	6	-1	32
6	Getafe	20	8	7	5	+9	31
7	Betis	19	7	5	7	-1	26
8	Sociedad	19	7	4	8	+1	25
9	Girona	19	5	9	5	-2	24
10	Espanol	19	7	3	9	-6	24
11	Valencia	19	4	11	4	+0	23
12	Levante	19	6	5	8	-5	23
13	Leganes	19	5	7	7	-4	22
14	Valladolid	19	5	7	7	-4	22
15	Ath Bilbao	19	4	10	5	-5	22
16	Eibar	19	5	7	7	-7	22
17	Celta	19	5	6	8	-1	21
18	Vallecano	19	5	4	10	-12	19
19	Villarreal	19	3	8	8	-5	17
20	Huesca	19	2	5	12	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+21	23
3	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Real Madrid	9	6	1	2	+8	19
5	Alaves	9	5	4	0	+5	19
6	Espanol	9	6	0	3	+0	18
7	Getafe	10	5	1	4	+7	16
8	Eibar	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Leganes	9	4	4	1	+3	16
10	Betis	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	-1	14
12	Celta	10	3	4	3	+4	13
13	Valencia	10	2	7	1	+3	13
14	Vallecano	10	3	3	4	-5	12
15	Girona	10	2	5	3	-3	11
16	Levante	9	3	2	4	-6	11
17	Sociedad	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-4	8
19	Villarreal	10	1	4	5	-4	7
20	Huesca	9	1	4	4	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Sociedad	10	5	1	4	+3	16
3	Getafe	10	3	6	1	+2	15
4	Valladolid	10	3	5	2	+0	14
5	Real Madrid	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Sevilla	10	3	4	3	+4	13
7	Girona	9	3	4	2	+1	13
8	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-6	13
9	Levante	10	3	3	4	+1	12
10	Ath Madrid	9	2	6	1	+1	12
11	Betis	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Villarreal	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Ath Bilbao	9	1	5	3	-4	8
15	Celta	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Espanol	10	1	3	6	-6	6
18	Leganes	10	1	3	6	-7	6
19	Eibar	9	1	3	5	-10	6
20	Huesca	10	1	1	8	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.