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Bundesliga

Referee: Sören Storks

Augsburg

U U T T T

3–0

Full-time

Mainz

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

16%

37%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

63%

53%

Both score Ø 71%

79%

63%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 15. · Mainz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	20	15	4	1	+31	49
2	M'gladbach	20	13	3	4	+23	42
3	Bayern Munich	20	13	3	4	+21	42
4	RB Leipzig	20	11	4	5	+20	37
5	Ein Frankfurt	20	9	5	6	+13	32
6	Wolfsburg	20	9	4	7	+2	31
7	Leverkusen	20	9	3	8	+1	30
8	Hoffenheim	20	7	8	5	+9	29
9	Hertha	20	7	7	6	+0	28
10	Werder Bremen	20	7	6	7	+0	27
11	Mainz	19	7	6	6	-3	27
12	Schalke 04	20	6	4	10	-5	22
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	6	4	10	-17	22
14	Freiburg	19	5	6	8	-8	21
15	Augsburg	19	3	6	10	-7	15
16	Stuttgart	19	4	2	13	-27	14
17	Nurnberg	20	2	6	12	-27	12
18	Hannover	20	2	5	13	-26	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	10	9	1	0	+22	28
2	M'gladbach	9	9	0	0	+22	27
3	RB Leipzig	10	7	2	1	+17	23
4	Bayern Munich	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+10	17
6	Hertha	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Mainz	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Leverkusen	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Hoffenheim	11	3	5	3	+3	14
10	Freiburg	10	3	4	3	+0	13
11	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Schalke 04	10	4	0	6	-3	12
13	Wolfsburg	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	0	6	-5	12
15	Nurnberg	11	2	4	5	-4	10
16	Stuttgart	9	3	1	5	-10	10
17	Augsburg	9	1	4	4	-2	7
18	Hannover	10	2	1	7	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	0	3	+13	24
2	Dortmund	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Wolfsburg	10	6	1	3	+6	19
4	Hoffenheim	9	4	3	2	+6	15
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	M'gladbach	11	4	3	4	+1	15
7	RB Leipzig	10	4	2	4	+3	14
8	Leverkusen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
9	Werder Bremen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Hertha	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Mainz	9	3	2	4	-5	11
12	Schalke 04	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-12	10
14	Augsburg	10	2	2	6	-5	8
15	Freiburg	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Hannover	10	0	4	6	-15	4
17	Stuttgart	10	1	1	8	-17	4
18	Nurnberg	9	0	2	7	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.