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Serie A
Referee: Fabrizio Pasqua
Inter
U S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Bologna
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
57%
10%
Points per game
1,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 3. · Bologna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 22 19 3 0 +31 60
2 Napoli 22 16 3 3 +24 51
3 Inter 21 12 4 5 +16 40
4 Milan 21 9 8 4 +8 35
5 Roma 21 9 7 5 +11 34
6 Sampdoria 22 9 6 7 +10 33
7 Atalanta 21 9 5 7 +17 32
8 Lazio 21 9 5 7 +5 32
9 Fiorentina 22 7 10 5 +8 31
10 Torino 22 7 10 5 +5 31
11 Sassuolo 22 7 9 6 +1 30
12 Parma 22 8 5 9 -6 29
13 Genoa 22 6 6 10 -10 24
14 Spal 22 5 7 10 -11 22
15 Cagliari 21 4 9 8 -11 21
16 Udinese 22 4 7 11 -12 19
17 Empoli 22 4 6 12 -17 18
18 Bologna 21 2 8 11 -18 14
19 Frosinone 21 2 7 12 -26 13
20 Chievo 22 1 9 12 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Bologna
32′
F. Santander 0–1
E. Pulgar
40′
🟨 Ibrahima Mbaye
Matías Vecino 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
Lautaro Martínez 🔁
↦ A. Candreva
46′
49′
🔁 G. González
↦ Lyanco
64′
🟨 Danilo
João Mário 🔁
↦ R. Nainggolan
68′
74′
🔁 L. Krejčí
↦ R. Palacio
A. Ranocchia 🔁
↦ Cédric Soares
79′
87′
🔁 M. Destro
↦ F. Santander
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
6 S. de Vrij D
21 Cédric Soares D
37 M. Škriniar D
29 Dalbert Henrique D
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
14 R. Nainggolan M
8 M. Vecino M
77 M. Brozović M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (9)
10 Lautaro Martínez
15 João Mário
13 A. Ranocchia
5 R. Gagliardini
18 K. Asamoah
23 João Miranda
27 D. Padelli
33 D. D'Ambrosio
74 E. Salcedo Mora

Coach: L. Spalletti

Bologna

4-4-1-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
35 M. Dijks M
15 I. M'baye D
4 Lyanco D
16 A. Poli M
21 R. Soriano M
5 E. Pulgar M
24 R. Palacio F
9 F. Santander F
7 R. Orsolini F
Bench (12)
3 G. González
11 L. Krejčí
22 M. Destro
20 S. Edera
1 Angelo da Costa
6 N. Paz
8 Á. Nagy
17 G. Donsah
31 B. Džemaili
32 M. Svanberg
33 A. Calabresi
91 D. Falcinelli

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fabrizio Pasqua · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.