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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Sociedad
S S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Alaves
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
31%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
18 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 15. · Alaves 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 10 4 2 +27 34
2 Sevilla 16 9 4 3 +13 31
3 Ath Madrid 16 8 7 1 +12 31
4 Real Madrid 16 9 2 5 +5 29
5 Getafe 17 6 7 4 +5 25
6 Betis 16 7 4 5 +1 25
7 Alaves 16 7 4 5 +1 25
8 Girona 17 5 7 5 -2 22
9 Levante 16 6 4 6 -3 22
10 Celta 16 5 6 5 +4 21
11 Espanol 16 6 3 7 -5 21
12 Valladolid 16 5 5 6 -3 20
13 Eibar 16 5 5 6 -4 20
14 Valencia 16 3 10 3 +0 19
15 Sociedad 16 5 4 7 -1 19
16 Leganes 16 4 6 6 -4 18
17 Villarreal 16 3 6 7 -4 15
18 Ath Bilbao 16 2 9 5 -8 15
19 Vallecano 16 2 4 10 -16 10
20 Huesca 16 1 5 10 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Alaves
11′
J. Calleri 0–1
Borja Bastón
22′
🟨 Tomás Pina
David Zurutuza 🟨
25′
34′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
Half-time 0–1
66′
🔁 Ibai Gómez
↦ Borja Bastón
Mikel Merino 🔁
↦ Illarramendi
72′
74′
🔁 Manu García
↦ Rubén Sobrino
76′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
82′
🔁 Martín
↦ Ximo Navarro
Ander Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ Juanmi
85′
Mikel Merino 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Guillermo Maripán
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ T. Hernández
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-4-2
13 Moyà G
6 H. Moreno D
3 Diego Llorente D
15 Aritz Elustondo D
19 T. Hernández D
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
11 A. Januzaj M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
8 Mikel Merino
34 Ander Barrenetxea
21 Jon Bautista
1 G. Rulli
5 Igor Zubeldía
24 Sandro Ramírez
27 R. Le Normand

Coach: Asier Garitano

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
15 Ximo Navarro D
6 G. Maripán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
22 M. Wakaso M
8 Tomás Pina M
23 Jony M
18 Borja Bastón F
7 Rubén Sobrino F
12 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
11 Ibai Gómez
19 Manu García
21 Martín
10 J. Guidetti
13 Antonio Sivera
14 Burgui
17 Adrián Marín

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.