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Serie A
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Spal
T U T U S
0–0
Full-time
Torino
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
24%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
24 Free kicks against 27
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Spal 15. · Torino 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 22 19 3 0 +31 60
2 Napoli 22 16 3 3 +24 51
3 Inter 21 12 4 5 +16 40
4 Milan 21 9 8 4 +8 35
5 Roma 21 9 7 5 +11 34
6 Sampdoria 22 9 6 7 +10 33
7 Atalanta 21 9 5 7 +17 32
8 Lazio 21 9 5 7 +5 32
9 Fiorentina 21 7 9 5 +8 30
10 Torino 21 7 9 5 +5 30
11 Sassuolo 21 7 8 6 +1 29
12 Parma 22 8 5 9 -6 29
13 Genoa 21 6 5 10 -10 23
14 Cagliari 21 4 9 8 -11 21
15 Spal 21 5 6 10 -11 21
16 Udinese 21 4 6 11 -12 18
17 Empoli 22 4 6 12 -17 18
18 Bologna 21 2 8 11 -18 14
19 Frosinone 21 2 7 12 -26 13
20 Chievo 22 1 9 12 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Torino
2′
🟨 Cristian Ansaldi
Simone Missiroli 🟨
6′
33′
🟨 Nicolas N'Koulou
Thiago Cionek 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 S. Meïté
↦ C. Ansaldi
61′
🟨 Andrea Belotti
65′
🟨 Nicolas N'Koulou
65′
🟥 Nicolas N'Koulou
67′
🟨 Simone Zaza
72′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ S. Zaza
S. Floccari 🔁
↦ T. Cionek
76′
A. Murgia 🔁
↦ M. Valoti
79′
Felipe 🟨
84′
86′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ S. Lukić
Jasmin Kurtić 🟨
90′
Mohamed Fares 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Spal

3-5-2
2 E. Viviano G
27 Felipe D
4 T. Cionek D
14 K. Bonifazi D
93 M. Fares D
6 S. Missiroli M
19 J. Kurtič M
8 M. Valoti M
29 M. Lazzari M
43 A. Paloschi F
7 M. Antenucci F
Bench (12)
10 S. Floccari
11 A. Murgia
28 P. Schiattarella
13 V. Regini
90 M. Spina
5 L. Šimić
24 L. Dickmann
16 M. Valdifiori
33 F. Costa
23 F. Vicari
1 A. Gomis
17 G. Poluzzi

Coach: L. Semplici

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
34 O. Aina D
88 T. Rincón M
7 S. Lukić M
11 S. Zaza F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (11)
23 S. Meïté
8 D. Baselli
21 Álex Berenguer
25 A. Rosati
1 S. Ichazo
72 V. Millico
14 Iago Falqué
99 E. Ferigra
30 K. Djidji
36 Bremer
19 V. Damaşcan

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.