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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Alaves

U S S U T

0–1

Full-time

Vallecano

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

45%

25%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 5. · Vallecano 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	15	4	2	+37	49
2	Ath Madrid	21	12	8	1	+19	44
3	Real Madrid	21	12	3	6	+8	39
4	Sevilla	21	10	6	5	+14	36
5	Alaves	20	9	5	6	-1	32
6	Getafe	21	8	7	6	+7	31
7	Valencia	21	6	11	4	+4	29
8	Betis	21	8	5	8	-1	29
9	Sociedad	21	7	6	8	+1	27
10	Eibar	21	6	8	7	-4	26
11	Ath Bilbao	21	5	11	5	-4	26
12	Levante	21	7	5	9	-8	26
13	Valladolid	21	6	7	8	-5	25
14	Girona	21	5	9	7	-5	24
15	Espanol	21	7	3	11	-11	24
16	Leganes	21	5	8	8	-6	23
17	Celta	21	5	6	10	-3	21
18	Vallecano	20	5	5	10	-12	20
19	Villarreal	21	3	9	9	-8	18
20	Huesca	21	2	6	13	-22	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Barcelona	11	8	2	1	+23	26
3	Sevilla	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Real Madrid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
5	Eibar	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Alaves	9	5	4	0	+5	19
7	Betis	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Espanol	10	6	0	4	-2	18
9	Leganes	10	4	5	1	+3	17
10	Ath Bilbao	11	4	5	2	+0	17
11	Getafe	10	5	1	4	+7	16
12	Valencia	11	3	7	1	+6	16
13	Levante	10	4	2	4	-4	14
14	Celta	11	3	4	4	+3	13
15	Vallecano	11	3	4	4	-5	13
16	Valladolid	10	3	2	5	-3	11
17	Girona	11	2	5	4	-5	11
18	Sociedad	10	2	4	4	-2	10
19	Villarreal	11	1	5	5	-4	8
20	Huesca	10	1	4	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Real Madrid	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Ath Madrid	10	3	6	1	+4	15
5	Getafe	11	3	6	2	+0	15
6	Valladolid	11	3	5	3	-2	14
7	Sevilla	11	3	4	4	+2	13
8	Girona	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Valencia	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Levante	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Betis	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Villarreal	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Ath Bilbao	10	1	6	3	-4	9
15	Celta	10	2	2	6	-6	8
16	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Espanol	11	1	3	7	-9	6
19	Leganes	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Huesca	11	1	2	8	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.