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La Liga

Referee: David Medie Jimenez

Alaves

T U T U S

2–1

Full-time

Valencia

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 36%

47%

24%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

47%

18%

Both score Ø 47%

47%

Average goals

2,1

1,7

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 5. · Valencia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	4	2	+29	37
2	Ath Madrid	17	9	7	1	+13	34
3	Sevilla	17	9	5	3	+13	32
4	Real Madrid	17	9	3	5	+5	30
5	Alaves	17	8	4	5	+2	28
6	Betis	17	7	5	5	+1	26
7	Getafe	17	6	7	4	+5	25
8	Espanol	18	7	3	8	-5	24
9	Girona	18	5	8	5	-2	23
10	Levante	18	6	5	7	-4	23
11	Valencia	17	4	10	3	+1	22
12	Celta	17	5	6	6	+2	21
13	Eibar	17	5	6	6	-4	21
14	Valladolid	18	5	6	7	-4	21
15	Sociedad	17	5	4	8	-2	19
16	Leganes	18	4	7	7	-5	19
17	Villarreal	17	3	7	7	-4	16
18	Ath Bilbao	17	2	10	5	-8	16
19	Vallecano	18	4	4	10	-14	16
20	Huesca	17	1	5	11	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+18	20
3	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Sevilla	8	6	1	1	+7	19
5	Espanol	9	6	0	3	+0	18
6	Alaves	8	4	4	0	+4	16
7	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
8	Betis	9	4	3	2	+1	15
9	Celta	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	Getafe	8	4	1	3	+4	13
11	Leganes	8	3	4	1	+2	13
12	Valencia	9	2	6	1	+3	12
13	Ath Bilbao	9	2	5	2	-3	11
14	Levante	9	3	2	4	-6	11
15	Girona	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	Vallecano	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Villarreal	9	1	4	4	-3	7
19	Sociedad	8	1	3	4	-3	6
20	Huesca	8	0	4	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+11	17
2	Sevilla	9	3	4	2	+6	13
3	Sociedad	9	4	1	4	+1	13
4	Girona	9	3	4	2	+1	13
5	Valladolid	9	3	4	2	+0	13
6	Levante	9	3	3	3	+2	12
7	Getafe	9	2	6	1	+1	12
8	Alaves	9	4	0	5	-2	12
9	Ath Madrid	8	2	5	1	+1	11
10	Betis	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Real Madrid	9	3	2	4	-5	11
12	Valencia	8	2	4	2	-2	10
13	Villarreal	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Celta	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
16	Espanol	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Leganes	10	1	3	6	-7	6
18	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Ath Bilbao	8	0	5	3	-5	5
20	Huesca	9	1	1	7	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.