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La Liga
Referee: David Medie Jimenez
Betis
U T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 48%
38%
57%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
43%
24%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
7 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 9. · Ath Madrid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 22 15 5 2 +37 50
2 Ath Madrid 21 12 8 1 +19 44
3 Real Madrid 21 12 3 6 +8 39
4 Sevilla 22 10 6 6 +13 36
5 Getafe 22 8 8 6 +7 32
6 Alaves 21 9 5 7 -2 32
7 Valencia 22 6 12 4 +4 30
8 Sociedad 22 8 6 8 +2 30
9 Betis 21 8 5 8 -1 29
10 Levante 22 7 6 9 -8 27
11 Eibar 21 6 8 7 -4 26
12 Ath Bilbao 22 5 11 6 -5 26
13 Valladolid 22 6 7 9 -9 25
14 Espanol 22 7 4 11 -11 25
15 Celta 22 6 6 10 -2 24
16 Girona 21 5 9 7 -5 24
17 Leganes 21 5 8 8 -6 23
18 Vallecano 21 6 5 10 -11 23
19 Villarreal 22 3 10 9 -8 19
20 Huesca 22 3 6 13 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Ath Madrid
40′
🟨 Santiago Arias
41′
🟨 Ángel Correa
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Filipe Luis
↦ S. Arias
51′
🟨 Lucas Hernández
Sidnei 🔁
↦ Bartra
52′
63′
🔁 Vitolo
↦ T. Lemar
1–0 Canales
65′
Junior Firpo 🔁
↦ Francis Guerrero
73′
75′
🔁 N. Kalinić
↦ Á. Correa
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
82′
Junior Firpo 🟨
83′
Javi García 🔁
↦ Joaquín
83′
Sergio León 🟨
85′
Pau López 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Betis

3-5-2
13 Pau López G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
4 Z. Feddal D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
34 W. Kaptoum M
2 Francis Guerrero M
7 Sergio León F
Bench (7)
12 Sidnei
20 Junior Firpo
3 Javi García
10 Jesé
1 Joel Robles
16 Loren Morón
21 G. Lo Celso

Coach: Quique Setién

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
4 S. Arias D
24 J. Giménez D
21 L. Hernández D
11 T. Lemar M
5 T. Partey M
14 Rodri Hernández M
7 A. Griezmann F
22 Álvaro Morata F
10 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
3 Filipe Luis
23 Vitolo
9 N. Kalinić
1 Adán
28 Cristian Rodríguez
35 Francisco Montero
47 Joaquín Muñoz

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.