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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

Stuttgart

S T T T T

2–2

Full-time

Freiburg

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 24%

21%

26%

Points per game

0,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

63%

47%

Both score Ø 50%

37%

63%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

17 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 16. · Freiburg 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	20	15	4	1	+31	49
2	M'gladbach	20	13	3	4	+23	42
3	Bayern Munich	20	13	3	4	+21	42
4	RB Leipzig	20	11	4	5	+20	37
5	Ein Frankfurt	20	9	5	6	+13	32
6	Wolfsburg	20	9	4	7	+2	31
7	Leverkusen	20	9	3	8	+1	30
8	Hoffenheim	20	7	8	5	+9	29
9	Hertha	20	7	7	6	+0	28
10	Werder Bremen	20	7	6	7	+0	27
11	Mainz	20	7	6	7	-6	27
12	Schalke 04	20	6	4	10	-5	22
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	6	4	10	-17	22
14	Freiburg	19	5	6	8	-8	21
15	Augsburg	20	4	6	10	-4	18
16	Stuttgart	19	4	2	13	-27	14
17	Nurnberg	20	2	6	12	-27	12
18	Hannover	20	2	5	13	-26	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	10	9	1	0	+22	28
2	M'gladbach	9	9	0	0	+22	27
3	RB Leipzig	10	7	2	1	+17	23
4	Bayern Munich	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+10	17
6	Hertha	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Mainz	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Leverkusen	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Hoffenheim	11	3	5	3	+3	14
10	Freiburg	10	3	4	3	+0	13
11	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Schalke 04	10	4	0	6	-3	12
13	Wolfsburg	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	0	6	-5	12
15	Augsburg	10	2	4	4	+1	10
16	Nurnberg	11	2	4	5	-4	10
17	Stuttgart	9	3	1	5	-10	10
18	Hannover	10	2	1	7	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	0	3	+13	24
2	Dortmund	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Wolfsburg	10	6	1	3	+6	19
4	Hoffenheim	9	4	3	2	+6	15
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	M'gladbach	11	4	3	4	+1	15
7	RB Leipzig	10	4	2	4	+3	14
8	Leverkusen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
9	Werder Bremen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Hertha	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Mainz	10	3	2	5	-8	11
12	Schalke 04	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-12	10
14	Augsburg	10	2	2	6	-5	8
15	Freiburg	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Hannover	10	0	4	6	-15	4
17	Stuttgart	10	1	1	8	-17	4
18	Nurnberg	9	0	2	7	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.