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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Sociedad
S U T T S
2–2
Full-time
Vallecano
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 33%
40%
25%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,4
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 9. · Vallecano 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 4 1 0 +11 13
2 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 Alaves 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Espanol 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Celta 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Ath Madrid 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Girona 5 2 2 1 -1 8
8 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 +4 7
9 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Getafe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Eibar 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Ath Bilbao 4 1 3 0 +1 6
13 Betis 5 1 3 1 -2 6
14 Villarreal 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Valencia 5 0 4 1 -2 4
16 Levante 5 1 1 3 -3 4
17 Huesca 5 1 1 3 -7 4
18 Valladolid 5 0 3 2 -2 3
19 Vallecano 4 1 0 3 -7 3
20 Leganes 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Vallecano
1–0 Jon Bautista
Luca Sangalli
5′
Igor Zubeldia 🟨
15′
31′
L. Advíncula 1–1
36′
Ó. Trejo 1–2
Half-time 1–2
61′
🟨 Luis Advíncula
Illarramendi 🔁
↦ Igor Zubeldía
61′
62′
🟨 Gaël Kakuta
Willian José 🔁
↦ Rubén Pardo
63′
65′
🔁 G. Imbula
↦ Álvaro Medrán
71′
🔁 Adri Embarba
↦ Bebé
Zurutuza 🔁
↦ Luca Sangalli
76′
76′
🔁 Álex Alegría
↦ Raúl de Tomás
Héctor Moreno 🟨
77′
2–2 Willian José
Joseba Zaldúa
78′
Mikel Merino 🟨
81′
Joseba Zaldúa 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Oscar Trejo
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 G. Rulli G
6 H. Moreno D
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
20 Kévin Rodrigues D
15 Aritz Elustondo D
14 Rubén Pardo M
23 Luca Sangalli M
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
21 Jon Bautista F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
4 Illarramendi
12 Willian José
17 Zurutuza
22 Raúl Navas
13 Moyà
31 N. Djouahra
18 Andoni Gorosabel

Coach: Asier Garitano

Vallecano

4-1-4-1
1 Alberto García G
17 L. Advíncula D
16 Jordi Amat D
23 Alejandro Gálvez D
10 G. Kakuta M
7 Álex Moreno D
4 Álvaro Medrán M
27 Santi Comesaña M
8 Ó. Trejo M
14 Bebé F
9 Raúl de Tomás F
Bench (7)
12 G. Imbula
11 Adri Embarba
15 Álex Alegría
22 José Ángel Pozo
20 E. Velázquez
18 Álvaro García
13 S. Dimitrievski

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.